Showing posts with label coins. Show all posts
Showing posts with label coins. Show all posts

Friday, September 23, 2011

Silver Going Down

By Ray  Gano

Hey folks, for those of you who have missed some opportunity to buy silver due to the "high" price. You might want to start keeping your eyes peeled.

Currently the world markets are terrified of the Euro and the very likely demise of the EU.

Markets, like people, have a hard time breaking habits.

The habit that I am talking about is when bad things happen, run to the dollar.

That is what we are seeing right now. The global markets are very concerned over the state of the Euro that they are jumping ship. The place they always tend to gravitate to is the US Dollar.

Now this is good news for those who like silver.

The way the markets usually go is that when the dollar goes up, precious metals go down. That is what we are seeing right now.

I thought that this would begin to take place around August time frame, but I believe that we are beginning to see it now form.

In the last 48 hours silver has dropped from the $40+ range to it's current price of $32.98. This is a pretty big drop and one I hope will continue.

Now those of you who may have purchased silver in the $30-$40 range, do not worry, the price of silver will jump back to that and then rocket past.

What we are seeing is just a short term dip, but if this dip holds, one may be able to take advantage of it.

So now is the time to start keeping a keen eye on the silver price and if you have money to purchase, now is the time where you might want to do that.

I do not think that the prices will last though.

Why?

When the markets realize that the US Dollar is just as bad as the Euro, then the herd will run to the next "safe haven" that being gold and silver. When that does take place, gold and silver will go through the roof.

Many peopl ask me who to purchase from. I always recommend APMEX (American Precious Metals Exchange) You can find them at www.apmex.com. Their prices are the best, their markup very low and their customer service is great.

My hope is that silver will dip to the $22.00 price and when it does, hold a garage sale, do anything you can to free up some $$$ and purchase. I don't think this opportunity will last, that is if it does go that low. US dollar Index is sitting at 78.20. Which is up from the low 70's a few months ago. This is another indicator that people are running to the dollar for safety.

ALSO - here is a great video by Robert Kiyosaki on why purchase silver.

WATCH NOW >> http://youtu.be/FOKn7tiUMyc

FINALLY (leagal stuff) - Please remember that I (Ray Gano/Prophezine/survival4christians) is not an investment adviser and you should never make investment decisions based on anything we say.

Keep your eye on silver - that is what I am doing.

Friday, November 5, 2010

Austerity Measures Coming To America

By Ray Gano
Austerity measures - In economics, austerity is when a government reduces its spending and/or increases user fees to pay back creditors. Austerity is usually required when a government's fiscal deficit spending is felt to be unsustainable. - source -http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Austerity_measures
IF you were like me, you were watching the new speaker of the House, Rep. John Boehner of Ohio, as he told a crowd of supporters, "This is not a time for celebration."
He went on to say, "It is a time to roll up our sleeves and go to work. We can celebrate when small businesses begin hiring again. We can celebrate when the spending binge here in Washington has stopped. And we can celebrate when we have a government that has earned the trust of the people that it serves."
While I am very glad at the republican sweep in the elections, this sweep will not stop what has already been put into action by the Federal Reserve
See no matter what, the Federal Reserve is still moving forward with thier plans to purchase US debt with money printed out of thin air. The fancy name for this is quantitative easing.
What this will do is drive government bond yields to levels that we have not seen since the great depression. The US dollar is now moving into "junk bond" status.
What is going to take place is higher inflation, in fact it is believed that the inflation is going to be so much that it is goign to cause a major shake- up in currency and bond markets globally.
The outcome will be huge price increases, and again it does not matter who is in office, congress or senate; the Federal Reserve, a privately held corporating of banking elites are doing this. There is nothing "federal" about this organization. They are the ones who control the money and they do not care how many lives will pay for thier usery and greed.
In fact, just three weeks ago silver was siting around the $19.00 range. Today it is $26.69. It was $24.00 just two days ago, that is till the Feds announced that they were in fact going to enact QEII.
Now, there is a chance,very slim, but a chance that we can possibly escape some of what is before us. But what it will take is massive amounts of sacrifice. 
The new speaker of the House, Rep. John Boehner said, "It is a time to roll up our sleeves..."
Like it or not, "rolling up our sleves" means Austerity Measures are coming to America.
On Nov 2,201 the United Kingdom's PM David Cameron's coalition government announced massive cuts to the military and social housing in an attempt to reign in out of control deficits before addressing a very large debt. 
In France, an estimated one million protesters took to the streets against austerity measures proposed by the Sarkozy government which would raise the retirement age from 60 to 62. Well, our retirement age is 65, so personally France can suck this up. But what they are looking at here in the US is to move the retirement age from 65 to 70. 
Greece's economy has collapsed, and now Portugal's President is warning of a major crisis unless thier new austerity budget is accepted. Ireland is not be far behind in collapsing.
Europe is facing hard lifestyle changes, and the US is not far behind them.
On February 18, 2010, President Obama signed an executive order called "The National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform." He did this by executive order because Senate was unable to pass a bill agreeing to a binding all powerful fiscal commission. Yet another abuse of power from this president.
Like the many other draconian "Czars" he has given power too, this commission will also wield authority and power.
On Nov 1, 2010  the Deficit Commission used the New York Times as a messenger service to tell politicians — and us the American people exactly what they intend to do if Republicans win the House and a good number of seats in senate.
It’s all there in black and white: They’ll cut benefits, increase the financial burden on the middle class, and make sure that wealthy Americans aren’t troubled by the kind of sacrifices everyone else will be expected to make so we do not default on our debt.
Here are the quick points...
(1) The average family health plan in the United States cost $13,770 in 2010. At a Federal tax rate of 25%, that’s $3,440 in new taxes — and the costs of these plans keeps skyrocketing. Employers would pass these costs on to employees, and would probably also reduce benefits (which is permitted to some extent under the new law) in order to reduce their own costs.
(2) The loss in middle-class wealth through plunging household assets is one part of the problem. Another is the fact that so many homeowners are paying mortgages based on grossly inflated home values, since banks have not had to write down any of the principal on these loans. And the bank bailout has not “broken even” or “made the taxpayer money,” despite reports that suggest otherwise.
(3) About those “unnamed supporters”: “Unnamed” by who, exactly? By Calmes herself, apparently. Are they “supporters” of the Commission, of eliminating these tax breaks, or of something else? Are they Commission staffers, or do they work for an advocacy group of some kind? Colmes doesn’t say. Has she read the New York Times’own policy about unnamed sources? Unattributed sources are only to be used for clearly stated reasons, which should be provided in the article. But then, disclosure have never been the Deficit Commission’s strong suit.
(4) Social Security’s fully funded through 2037, and then 75% funded after that. Lifting the cap on the payroll (FICA) tax would fix it forever. But Republicans will resist that, so your benefits are going to be cut instead. How? By raising the retirement age and altering the price index and cost-of-living formulas. That would come to an estimated 16.5% across-the-board cut in benefits – all because Republicans have drawn a line in the sand.
Co-chairs Alan Simpson (former Republican Senator from Wyoming) and Erskine Bowles (Bill Clinton's Chief of Staff) have promised, as basically ordered by our illustrious President. That everything will be on the table when it comes to balancing the budget, including social security, taxes, the military, and Medicare.
Does this need to be done? Yes it does.
But will those who govern, lead and make all the laws do the right thing? I pray that enough constitutional conservatives made it into the house and have the fortitude enough to stand when they see present day evil making headway.
I also pray that Republicans take seriously that the people of the United States have spoken. We are sick and tired of the abuse and we want it stopped now.
Now I have to say that I am encouraged by Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky)and the speaches he has been giving. The president is saying compremise and McConnell is saying "no you are going to what the American people want." I like his tough, take no prisoners, draw the line in the sand attitude.
Now how long it lasts and will they stand firm is another thing.
If sacrifices are spread out evenly and if we as a nation turn back to God, I can see us making our way through this storm. It will be difficult, but it is possible. But it will mean sacrifice as a nation.
What I fear is that those in power will take the easy way out. That most likely is create a major war effort. That has always been the answer when the FIAT Model starts to break down. Just in case you do not know, America is based upon the FIAT monitary system, and she has always conducts a major war effort to try to get ourselves out of debt.
History has shown this time and time again.
When we could not fix our debt in the 1800's, we had the civil war. When we could not fix our debt in the 1930's we went to war. This is why I say that the odds are very good that we will go to war. Odds are also good that we will ramp up our military machine and go to war with Iran.
If we do not go to war, then we will continue to try to spend our way out, which we all know that is a dead end street that will result in entering a sever depression / hyperinflation even quicker. 
Austerity Measures are coming to America, we have been officially warned by John Boehner and no matter what, it will be carried out and we will feel the pain. To which direction we take, will be seen.
Will they send our young men and women across the sea to shed their innocent blood to pay for the banksters and Wall Street exececutives massive greed?
OR...
Will they just sacrifice America on the pire of Mammon and let this nation sink into third world status wiping out the middle class and stealing just about every bit of wealth the American people have built.
Both of these senarios will send this nation into an "econimic winter" where not much growth and great hardship will take place.
I have to be honest and say that there are times I do not relish the job God has given me. I know that many people are excited with the turnout of the elections and I know am raining on their parade, being doom and gloom and seem to always be pointing out the negative.
But I am a Watchman, called upon by God. I have got to sound the warning, the fire is in my bones. But not only that, the blood of the innocent will be upon my hands if I stand silent.
Scripture says...
Ezekiel 33:6-7  But if the watchman see the sword come, and blow not the trumpet, and the people be not warned; if the sword come, and take any person from among them, he is taken away in his iniquity; but his blood will I require at the watchman's hand. 7  So thou, O son of man, I have set thee a watchman unto the house of Israel; therefore thou shalt hear the word at my mouth, and warn them from me.
Therefore, I must sound the alarm.
So what does the road look like possibly ahead?
We will probably see a "positive bump" in the markets, things will seem to be doing well. As a matter of fact the markets are reacting in the positive these last few weeks because "stock prices" are up. What they fail to see is that they are up due to inflation. In other words it is taking more dollars to purchase the stock than it did say a month or so ago.
The stock prices are not going up, the buying power of the dollar is going down. Don't believe me, look at the price of gold - $1,396.50. Gold and silver has consistantly been going up since July.
If a positive speed bump takes place, we may see the price of gold and silver drop for a bit(if it does, buy silver). This will be the calm before the storm. Things will seem to be rosy, but it will be only for a season. We will still have the same problems, same issues and the same gigantic mountainous debt facing us. Then the tide will change and we will see massive inflation take place in just a matter of days.
What do we do?
We need to be doing all that we can to prepare our selves spiritually, mentally and physically for the sake of the Gospel. Many will be hurting and need the hope that we have to offer in Jesus Christ our Lord.
If you have not protected your wealth, then I would start finding mediums of wealth to purchase like silver. If a drop comes, that will be the time to purchase silver, it will skyrocket after that.
If you want to learn more about silver, get Prophezine's Christian Guide To Silver.(http://www.prophezine.com/pz_store/)
In fact here is what PZ Insider Danny said...
"I'm new to investing in silver and I have to tell you that your "Christian's Guide to Silver" DVD is a "wealth" of information.  After watching the DVD, I was able to find over $30 worth of silver just sitting in my closet. Coins that I would have eventually rolled up and cashed in at the bank or just spent for far less than $30.  This DVD has already paid for itself and then some. Everyone who wants to learn about investing in silver should watch this DVD!"  
It is up to those of us who are the laymen who must be ready. Many of The pastors and shepherds have let us down, seeking approval of the world, instead of standing with the Word of God.
I believe God is seperating the wheat from the chaff. He is calling laymen to be ready for service. We must be ready to stand with boldness and credibility and to not be burdened as to where our next meal comes from or where to lay our head. We have been good stewards and we have prepared for the coming storm.
Finally, I leave you with the following...
Ephesians 6:13  Wherefore take unto you the whole armour of God, that ye may be able to withstand in the evil day, and having done all, to stand.


Prophezine's A Christian's Guide To Silver

SILVER-VIDEO.jpgIn this DVD Video we teach you about the precious metal Silver from a Christian's Perspective.
This video covers:
- What is Silver and the different types you can own
- Why Own Silver
- Purchasing Silver on the internet
- Walking the viewer through an actual purchase
- How to find Silver for pennies on the dollar
Video is approx 60 minutes in length
COST = $25.00 (US) Plus $3.00 shipping and handling
INCLUDES - Gold and Silver Tracking File - must have excel



JUST RELEASED - Broadband Version / International


This is a reduced file that you can view on your computer. The screen size of this file is 320x280. You will NOT receive a DVD. You are paying for only the video file.

If you live outside the US, you can purchase this file as well and it will play on your computer. Please note though that the file sizes are rather large
.
YOU MUST HAVE A BROADBAND CONNECTION TO DOWNLOAD THIS FILE
The file format is WV or Windows Media file, the file size is 164 Mb. 
COST = $15.00 (US)
INCLUDES - Gold and Silver Tracking File - must have excel

Friday, September 3, 2010

Bank Day Coming - Taking Advantage of Hyperinflation

By Ray Gano
Bernanke: Shut down banks if they threaten system
WASHINGTON – Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told a panel investigating the financial crisis that regulators must be ready to shutter the largest institutions if they threaten to bring down the financial system.
"If the crisis has a single lesson, it is that the too-big-to-fail problem must be solved," Bernanke said Thursday while testifying before the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission.
source - http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/us_financial_crisis_bernanke
Here is a major "telegraphing" of the Fed's intentions. Bernanke is letting people know that a bank holiday is coming, or what I am calling "Bank Day."
Imagine all the banks in the US closed, ATMs closed, Credit Cards not working, no one taking checks.  Can you imagine the chaos, riots, crime and so forth that will take place? That's what will happen.
This type of event has taken place here in the US before when FDR declared a "bank holiday." What resulted was the savings of many of the middle class being wiped out literally over night.
When Will "Bank Day" Take Place?
Sooner or later the Feds along with the Gov will have to declare a bank holiday to devalue the dollar so that US debt can be paid. They will "default" on a loan and  that is when "Bank Day" will take place.  This will most likely take place also on a Thursday or Friday so that the powers that be will have a full weekend to cook the books and manipulate the numbers.  
Some have speculated that this will take place end of the government  fiscal, which ends Sept 30th with the new fiscal year beginning October 1st.
Another speculated timeframe would be the week between Christmas and New Years. Many companies are closed for the holidays and people are on Christmas vacation.
What Will Take Place and What Will Be The Effects?
What many believe will take place is that the dollar will be "split." How this works is much like the "splitting" of stock. So if you have 100 dollars you will now have 200 dollars. This sounds great, but it has killed your buying power and your "money" or medium of exchange is being manipulated outside your control.
Things that were already expensive, will double,  triple even quadruple in price and what happens is a mad tail spin of ever rising prices.
Here is an example - You can walk into a hardware store, pick up a hammer for $30.00, look around the store. When you  go to pay and the hammer and say fifteen minutes have elapsed, the cost of the hammer  has increased in price to $40.00.
It is this type of cause and effect that took place in countries like Argentina where their currency  was split and the prices of goods and services increased overnight.
In fact,  it is said that if you went to a restaurant and ordered a bottle of wine and consumed it there at the restaurant. The money you could get for the empty bottle the next day is more than what you would have originally paid for the bottle of wine the night before.
This is hyperinflation run amuck, and this is what is coming to this nation.
Why Would The Government Hyperinflate?
How this helps the Government is due to much of the "fixed debt" that this nation has aquired. Say that there is a fixed debt of 200 million and they only have 100 million to pay the bill. Over night the money is split and they are able to pay the 200 million and the debt is wiped out.  What is happening is the Government is playing a numbers game so that they can benefit literally at the cost of the people.
The good news is that like the government, you too can take advantage of the situation if you plan ahead. During the Weimar  Republic in the early 1900s one ounce of silver was selling for 1.3 billion marks.  People were able to pay off fixed debt and also purchase property  that had a fixed number debt for just ounces of silver.
Let's put this in terms closer to home.
Let's say your mortgage is a fixed debt of $100K. If you have tangible assets that maintain a medium of  wealth like silver or gold, you will be able to pay off that mortgage rather easily. Imagine silver selling for  $500.00 a oz. You can pay off your house with 200 oz of silver or possibly just a couple of oz of gold.  
This is how many people who saw the coming storm during the Weimar Republic were able to take advantage  of hyperinflation / depression. This is how the Fed will also be able to take advantage by  hyperinflating the dollar and then paying off US fixed debt.
Hyperinflation helps when you have a fixed debt like a mortgage, car loan, any type of fixed debt loans. Because  one has a fixed number, hitting that number becomes easier because you are dealing in numbers not money  any longer.
But what happened back then is happening now. Stock markets are in flux wiping out savings,  millions on unemployment, rising costs of goods and services, all of these things drain the common man's bank  account. So the common man does not think of maintaining a medium of wealth, such as gold and silver,  they are running the rat race just trying to stay ahead. So they work only in what is called a medium  of exchange... aka the dollar that does not preserve their wealth.
So if one only has dollars, their "wealth" can be manipulated by raising and lowering inflation, cost  of goods and services, APRs, etc. This is how so many lost their life savings when the stock market  took a dump.
 Remember Enron and MCI/Worldcom crash?
Remember all those retirees who lost most if not all of their retirement?
When "Bank Day" or a bank holiday takes place, it will do the same thing but on a far larger scale.  That is unless you have your "wealth" stored in an asset that maintains its wealth like gold, silver,  and other hard assets. Then you will be able to operate outside the dollar because your wealth is maintained in a tangible asset not a piece of paper that can be manipulated by the powers that be.
See cash is trash, and those who have precious metals or other tangible assets will be able to move outside the cash circles where most of the US population will be restricted to working with paper cash. Those people will be able to take advantage of paying off fixed debt because the government changed money into plain numbers.
Question - What fixed debt would you be able to pay off if Silver was worth 1.3 million dollars per oz?
What would you be able to purchase with the "change" you get from paying off that fixed debt with that 1  oz of silver?
Hyperinflation is bad, but those who have prepared for the coming storm will be able to weather the  storm and possibly even fair well out of it. 























Wednesday, August 25, 2010

10 Practical Steps That You Can Take To Insulate Yourself (At Least Somewhat) From The Coming Economic Collapse

Most Americans are still operating under the delusion that this "recession" will end and that the "good times" will return soon, but a growing minority of Americans are starting to realize that things are fundamentally changing and that they better start preparing for what is ahead. These "preppers" come from all over the political spectrum and from every age group.  More than at any other time in modern history, the American people lack faith in the U.S. economic system.  In dozens of previous columns, I have detailed the horrific economic problems that we are now facing in excruciating detail.  Many readers have started to complain that all I do is "scare" people and that I don't provide any practical solutions.  Well, not everyone can move to Montana and start a llama farm, but hopefully this article will give people some practical steps that they can take to insulate themselves (at least to an extent) from the coming economic collapse.

But before I get into what people need to do, let's take a minute to understand just how bad things are getting out there.  The economic numbers in the headlines go up and down and it can all be very confusing to most Americans.

However, there are two long-term trends that are very clear and that anyone can understand....

#1) The United States is getting poorer and is bleeding jobs every single month.

#2) The United States is getting into more debt every single month.

When you mention the trade deficit, most Americans roll their eyes and stop listening.  But that is a huge mistake, because the trade deficit is absolutely central to our problems.

Every single month, Americans buy far, far more from the rest of the world than they buy from us.  Every single month tens of billions of dollars more goes out of the country than comes into it.

That means that every single month the United States is getting poorer.

The excess goods and services that we buy from the rest of the world get "consumed" and the rest of the world ends up with more money than when they started.

Each year, hundreds of billions of dollars leave the United States and don't return.  The transfer of wealth that this represents is astounding.

But not only are we bleeding wealth, we are also bleeding jobs every single month.

The millions of jobs that the U.S. economy is losing to China, India and dozens of third world nations are not going to come back.  Middle class Americans have been placed in direct competition for jobs with workers on the other side of the world who are more than happy to work for little more than slave labor wages.  Until this changes the U.S. economy is going to continue to hemorrhage jobs.

The U.S. government has helped to mask much of this economic bleeding by unprecedented amounts of government spending and debt, but now the U.S. national debt exceeds 13 trillion dollars and is getting worse every single month.  Not only that, but state and local governments all over America are getting into ridiculous amounts of debt.

So, what we have got is a country that gets poorer every single month and loses jobs to other countries every single month and that has accumulated the biggest mountain of debt in the history of the world which also gets worse every single month.

Needless to say, this cannot last indefinitely.  Eventually the whole thing is just going to collapse like a house of cards.

So what can we each individually do to somewhat insulate ourselves from the economic problems that are coming?....  

1 - Get Out Of Debt: The old saying, "the borrower is the servant of the lender", is so incredibly true.  The key to insulating yourself from an economic meltdown is to become as independent as possible, and as long as you are in debt, you simply are not independent.  You don't want a horde of creditors chasing after you when things really start to get bad out there.

2 - Find New Sources Of Income: In 2010, there simply is not such a thing as job security.  If you are dependent on a job ("just over broke") for 100% of your income, you are in a very bad position.  There are thousands of different ways to make extra money.  What you don't want to do is to have all of your eggs in one basket.  One day when the economy melts down and you are out of a job are you going to be destitute or are you going to be okay?

3 - Reduce Your Expenses: Many Americans have left the rat race and have found ways to live on half or even on a quarter of what they were making previously.  It is possible - if you are willing to reduce your expenses.  In the future times are going to be tougher, so learn to start living with less today.

4 - Learn To Grow Your Own Food: Today the vast majority of Americans are completely dependent on being able to run down to the supermarket or to the local Wal-Mart to buy food.  But what happens when the U.S. dollar declines dramatically in value and it costs ten bucks to buy a loaf of bread?  If you learn to grow your own food (even if is just a small garden) you will be insulating yourself against rising food prices.

5 - Make Sure You Have A Reliable Water Supply: Water shortages are popping up all over the globe.  Water is quickly becoming one of the "hottest" commodities out there.  Even in the United States, water shortages have been making headline news recently.  As we move into the future, it will be imperative for you and your family to have a reliable source of water.  Some Americans have learned to collect rainwater and many others are using advanced technology such as atmospheric water generators to provide water for their families.  But whatever you do, make sure that you are not caught without a decent source of water in the years ahead.

6 - Buy Land: This is a tough one, because prices are still quite high.  However, as we have written previously, home prices are going to be declining over the coming months, and eventually there are going to be some really great deals out there.  The truth is that you don't want to wait too long either, because once Helicopter Ben Bernanke's inflationary policies totally tank the value of the U.S. dollar, the price of everything (including land) is going to go sky high.  If you are able to buy land when prices are low, that is going to insulate you a great deal from the rising housing costs that will occur when the U.S dollar does totally go into the tank.

7 - Get Off The Grid: An increasing number of Americans are going "off the grid".  Essentially what that means is that they are attempting to operate independently of the utility companies.  In particular, going "off the grid" will enable you to insulate yourself from the rapidly rising energy prices that we are going to see in the future.  If you are able to produce energy for your own home, you won't be freaking out like your neighbors are when electricity prices triple someday.

8 - Store Non-Perishable Supplies: Non-perishable supplies are one investment that is sure to go up in value.  Not that you would resell them.  You store up non-perishable supplies because you are going to need them someday.  So why not stock up on the things that you are going to need now before they double or triple in price in the future?  Your money is not ever going to stretch any farther than it does right now.

9 - Develop Stronger Relationships: Americans have become very insular creatures.  We act like we don't need anyone or anything.  But the truth is that as the economy melts down we are going to need each other.  It is those that are developing strong relationships with family and friends right now that will be able to depend on them when times get hard.

10 - Get Educated And Stay Flexible: When times are stable, it is not that important to be informed because things pretty much stay the same.  However, when things are rapidly changing it is imperative to get educated and to stay informed so that you will know what to do.  The times ahead are going to require us all to be very flexible, and it is those who are willing to adapt that will do the best when things get tough.

Tuesday, July 13, 2010

Silver’s Historical Correlation with Gold Suggests A Parabolic Top As High As $714 per Ounce!


Almost 70 respected economists, academics, gold analysts and market commentators (see list below) are of the firm opinion that gold is going to go to at least $2,500 if not as high as $10,000 per ounce (or more) before the parabolic top is reached. As such, just imagine what is in store for silver given its historical price relationship with gold. We’re looking at an extreme case scenario of a future parabolic top of perhaps as much as $714 per ounce for silver, the ‘poor man’s gold’. Let me explain.

The current price of gold and the price of silver – the silver:gold ratio – continues to hover around the 67:1 range which is way out of whack with the historical relationship between the two precious metals. It begs the question:

“Is now the perfect time to buy silver instead of the much more expensive gold metal?”

It is critical to step away from all the noise and clutter that passes for knowledge and take the time to gain perspective on where the price of gold and silver are in terms of the ‘big picture’, i.e., where they are in respect to their historical relationship with each other over the long, medium and short term and, based on those relationships, how they might perform in the future.

Bull Market Stages
The key to a secular gold/silver bull is the collective gold/silver transactions of investors worldwide buying and selling gold/silver that ultimately sets the price and determines their fortunes. The collective demand trends of gold/silver investors effectively divide precious metals bulls into 3 distinct demand-driven stages, namely:

1. Stage One which occurs when a devaluation of the dominant currency in which gold is priced, i.e. the USD, leads to a moderate increase in the price of gold. Stage One for gold began on February 15th, 2001 when it reached a 22-year secular low of just $255.10.

2. Stage Two which occurs when the decoupling of gold from local-currency devaluation begins to outpace the dollar’s losses and gold starts rising significantly in virtually all currencies worldwide. Stage Two began on June 5th, 2005 when gold (at $417.67US) first surpassed 350 Euros for the first time.

3. Stage Three which occurs when the general public around the world starts investing in gold and this deluge of capital into gold causes it to escalate dramatically (i.e. to go parabolic) in price. We are approaching Stage Three and it will become clearly evident when the price for gold begins its daily record ascents to dramatically higher prices.

Gold
We are now in the very early stages of Stage Three with gold having gone up 24% in 2009 and up 13.3% in the first 6 months of 2010. As such there are no shortage of prognosticators who see gold going parabolic reminiscent of 1979 when gold rose 289.3% in the course of just over a year (from a $216.55 closing price on Jan. 1, 1979 to a closing price of $843 per ounce barely a year later on Jan. 21, 1980) and 128% higher in a late-1979 parabolic blow-off of just under 11 weeks! A 289% increase in the price of gold from $1250 would put gold at $4,866. That being the case what appear on the surface to be rather outlandish projections of what the bull market in gold will top out at don’t seem quite so far-fetched.

Below is a list of the parabolic tops for gold as discussed in articles and/or speeches by well known economists, academics, market analysts and financial commentators. Their prognoses are limited to those above the CPI adjusted 2010 price of $2,300 and they are grouped according to the extent each individual sees gold appreciating over the next few years (and next few months in a few cases).

The list below is provided on my site – http://www.munknee.com/2010/07/these-70-analysts-have-sound-reasons-to-believe-gold-will-reach-parabolic-top-as-high-as-10000/ – with a link to the actual article in which each estimate was put forth if you care to check out the rationale behind each individual’s projections.

(If, in checking out the list, you find a name missing please send me his/her name and the URL of the article in which the individual states his/her case. I am only interested in projections of gold achieving a parabolic top of at least $2,500 per ounce. I will provide an updated list at a later date if warranted. Send the email to editor@munknee.com.)

Higher than $10,000
1. Mike Maloney: $15,000;
2. Howard Katz: $14,000;
3. Silver-Coin-Investor.com: $7,000-$14,000;
4. Jim Rickards: $4,000 – $11,000
5. Roland Watson: $10,800 (in our lifetime);

$5,001 – $10,000
1. Arnold Bock: $10,000 (by 2012);
2. Porter Stansberry: $10,000 (by 2012);
3. Tom Fischer: $10,000;
4. Shayne McGuire: $10,000;
5. Eric Hommelberg: $10,000;
6. Gerald Celente: $6,000 – $10,000;
7. Peter Schiff: $5,000 – $10,000 (in 5 to 10 years);
8. Egon von Greyerz: $5,000 – $10,000;
9. Patrick Kerr: $5,000 – $10,000 (by 2011);
10. Peter Millar: $5,000 – $10,000;
11. Alf Field: $4,250 – $10,000;
12. Jeff Nielson: $3,000 – $10,000;
13. Dennis van Ek: $9,000 (by 2015);
14. James Turk: $8,000 (by 2015);
15. Joseph Russo: $7,000 – $8,000;
16. David Petch; $6,000 – $$8,000;
17. Michael Rozeff: $2,865 – $7,151;
18. Martin Murenbeeld: $3,100 – $7,000;
19. Dylan Grice: $6,300;
20. Murray Sabrin: $6,153;
21. Harry Schultz: $6,000;
22. Paul van Edeen: $6,000;
23. Paul Brodsky/Lee Quaintance: $3,000 – $6,000;

$5,000
1. David Rosenberg: $5,000;
2. Martin Hutchinson: $5,000 (by end of 2010);
3. Doug Casey: $5,000;
4. Peter Cooper: $5,000;
5. Robert McEwen: $5,000;
6. Martin Armstrong: $5,000 (by 2016);
7. Peter Krauth: $5,000;
8. Tim Iacono: $5,000 (by 2017);
9. Christopher Wyke: $5,000;
10. Frank Barbera: $5,000;
11. John Lee: $5,000;
12. Peter Dawes: $5,000;

$2,500 – $5,000
1. Pierre Lassonde: $4,000 – $5,000;
2. Mary Anne and Pamela Aden: $3,000 – $5,000 (by February 2012);
3. Bob Chapman: $3,000 (by 2011);
4. Larry Edelson: $2300 – $5,000 (by 2012);
5. Luke Burgess: $2,000- – $5,000;
6. Ian Gordon/Christopher Funston; $4,000;
7. D.P. Baker: $3,000 – $3750;
8. Christopher Wood: $3,500 (in 2010);
9. Adam Hamilton: $3,500 (by 2010/11);
10. Eric Roseman: $2,500 – $3,500 (by 2015);
11. John Henderson: $3,000+ (by 2015-17);
12. Hans Goetti: $3,000;
13. Michael Yorba: $3,000;
14. David Tice: $3,000 (by 2012);
15. David Urban; $3,000;
16. Michael Lambert: $3,000;
17. Brett Arends: $3,000;
18. Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: $3,000;
19. Trader Mark: $3,000 (by mid-2011);
20. Ian Williams: $3,000;
21. Byron King: $3,000;
22. ThumbCharts.com: $3,000;
23. John McAvity: $2,500 – $3,000 (by 2012);
24. Jeff Nichols: $2,000 – $3,000;
25. Graham French: $2,000 – $3,000;
26. Sascha Opel: $2,500+;
27. Rick Rule: $2,500 (by 2013);
28. Daniel Brebner: $2,500;

Silver
Silver has proven itself, time and again, to be a safe haven for investors during times of economic uncertainty and, as such, with the current economy in difficulty the silver market has become a flight to quality investment vehicle. The 49% increase in silver in 2009 attests to that in spades (albeit up only 10% in the first 6 months of 2010). During the last parabolic phase for silver in 1979/80 silver went from a low of $5.94 on January 2nd, 1979 to a close of $49.45 in early January, 1980 which represented an increase of 732.5% in just over one year. Such a percentage increase from the current price for silver would represent a future parabolic top price of $155. Frankly, such prices seem impossible in practical terms but that is what the numbers tell us.

Silver:Gold Ratio
How both gold and silver perform, in and of themselves, does not tell the complete picture by a long shot, however. More important is the price relationship – the correlation – of one to the other over time which is called the silver:gold ratio.
Based on silver’s historical correlation r-square with gold of approximately 90 – 95% silver’s daily trading action almost always mirrors, and usually amplifies, underlying moves in gold. With significant increases in the price of gold expected over the next few years even greater increases are anticipated in silver’s price movement in the months and years to come because silver is currently seriously undervalued relative to gold as the following historical relationships attests.

Let’s look at the silver:gold ratio from several different perspectives:
- Over the past 125 years the mean silver:gold ratio (i.e. 50% above and 50% below) has been 45.69 ounces of silver to 1 ounce of gold.
- In the last 25 years (since 1985) the mean silver:gold ratio has increased to 66.9:1
- The present silver:gold ratio is range-bound between 63:1 and 70:1 (66.77:1 at the end of June 2010).
- Interestingly, during the build-up to the parabolic blow-off in 1979/80 silver outpaced gold going up 732.5% vs. gold’s 289.3% causing the ratio to drop from 38:1 in January 1979 to 13.99:1 at the parabolic peak for both metals in January,1980.

Conclusions:
There are many! Let’s look at the various price levels for gold and the various silver:gold ratios mentioned above one by one and see what conclusions we can draw.

First let’s use the mid-year (June 30th, 2010) price of $1243 for gold and apply the various silver:gold ratios mentioned above and see what they do for the potential % increase in, and price of, silver.

Gold @ $1243 using the current 66.77:1 silver:gold ratio puts silver at $18.61 (June 30/10)
Gold @ $1243 using the above 45.69:1 silver:gold ratio puts silver at $27.20 (i.e. +46.2%)
Gold @ $1243 using the above 13.99:1 silver:gold: ratio puts silver at $88.85 (i.e. +377.4%)

Now let’s apply the projections made above by the various economists, academics, gold analysts and market commentators listed above to the silver:gold ratio and see what that suggests is the parabolic top for silver.

@ $10,000 Gold
Gold @ $10,000 using the silver:gold ratio of 66:1 puts silver at $150
Gold @ $10,000 using the silver:gold ratio of 45:1 puts silver at $222
Gold @ $10,000 using the silver:gold ratio of 14:1 puts silver at $714!!

@ $5,000 Gold
Gold @ $5,000 using the silver:gold ratio of 66.1 puts silver at $75
Gold @ $5,000 using the silver:gold ratio of 45:1 puts silver at $111
Gold @ $5,000 using the silver:gold ratio of 14:1 puts silver at $357

@ $2,500 Gold
Gold @ $2,500 using the silver:gold ratio of 66:1 puts silver at $38
Gold @ $2,500 using the silver:gold ratio of 45:1 puts silver at $55.50
Gold @ $2,500 using the silver:gold ratio of 14:1 puts silver at $178.50

From the above it seems that, any way we look at it, physical silver is currently undervalued compared to gold bullion and is in position to generate substantially greater returns than investing in gold bullion.

Summary
History will look back at the artificially high silver to gold ratio of the past century as an anomaly, caused by the dollar bubble and the world being deceived into believing that fiat currencies are real money, when in fact they’re all an illusion. This fiat currency experiment will end badly in a currency crisis. The wealthiest people will be those who bought silver today and were smart enough to research and pick the best silver mining stocks and warrants.

Indeed, while gold’s meteoric rise still has room to run, silver’s run is yet to get started. As such, it certainly appears evident that now is the time to buy all things silver.

Source - www.FinancialArticleSummariesToday.com; By: Lorimer Wilson; Words: 1656


http://www.munknee.com/2010/07/silver%E2%80%99s-historical-correlation-with-gold-suggests-a-parabolic-top-as-high-as-714-per-ounce/

Monday, July 12, 2010

Dollar Devaluation and Destruction of America Pick Up Steam

Back in January Lindsey Williams’ insider sources told him the dollar will be devalued within a year. In response, oil and food prices will rise significantly and the elite and banksters will move assets into gold and silver.        
    
On Friday Fortune reported that central banks are now abandoning the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Morgan Stanley says the dollar is rapidly losing its status. “We already knew that central banks have preferred gold to dollars,” writes Fortune, but it now “seems that those central banks prefer almost anything to dollars.”

Both the United Nations and the IMF urge dumping the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Last year, both China and Russia questioned why the dollar should hold this status.

The dollar is unsafe because of the U.S. national debt. Over the last few years bankster grocery clerks in Congress and the White House have managed run up an astronomical debt and this has destroyed the dollar. As Fortune notes, two weeks ago America’s debt went up to $166 billion in a single day, a single day run-up greater than the entire U.S. annual deficit in 2007.

Fortune, of course, blames the American people for all of this, not the banksters and their buddies in the district of criminals. “Americans, the world’s consumers, continue much of the behavior that helped the U.S savings rate drop so low,” writes Heidi N. Moore.

Savings? Since the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913, the dollar has lost 96% of its purchasing power. In other words, $100 today buys only 4% of the amount of good or services that it would have in 1913. On January 1, 1914, the Consumer Price Index was 10.0. The CPI was 30.9 in 1964 and last year it was 211.1.

“This means that prices have risen 683% since 1964. The only problem is that your wages have not risen at the same rate, even using the government manipulated CPI. Using a true CPI figure, average weekly earnings are 64% below what they were in 1964. This explains why a family of five could live well with one parent working in 1964, but even with both parents working and using debt in prodigious amounts, the average family does not live as well today,” writes Jim Quinn.

Dollar devaluation is directly related to the size of the national debt. Currency loses it value when government is unable to pay off its debt. The amount of debt owed by the U.S. government to the banksters is unpayable. If all money owned by all American banks, businesses and individuals was rounded up and sent to the government, there would not be enough to pay off the national debt. It is mathematically impossible to pay it off.

The government tells us the national debt is somewhere around $12.8 trillion. “As shocking as that massive number is, however, it is just a fantasy — a tiny fraction of the gargantuan amount our government really owes,” writes Lorimer Wilson. “In addition to that official $12.8 trillion national debt, Washington has written $108 trillion in off-budget, unfunded IOUs on Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, its prescription drug program, its veterans benefits programs and its Federal pension programs that must also be paid.”

Dollar devaluation is a natural response — in an unnatural fiat money system — to government debt.

Take the case of Argentina. In 2001, the Argentine peso was pegged to the U.S. dollar. Argentina, however, was unable to pay its debt in early 2002 and the peso was devalued. The result was rampant unemployment and poverty. The regime of Domingo Cavallo imposed austerity on the people (as the IMF insisted it do) and this resulted in a general strike and a state of siege against the people by the government.

In February the credit ratings agency Moody’s Investor Service warned that the U.S. is at risk of losing its AAA credit rating. “The US government may be forced to devalue the dollar if … investment rating agencies (Fitch, Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s) down-rate the value of US Treasury bonds as they should,” writes author Bill Sardi. “Government cannot meet all its obligations and promises by raising taxes on the wealthy. Its only option now is to officially devalue the dollar, probably by 30%.”

In 2008, as the engineered global financial crisis was beginning to pick up steam, trend forecaster Gerald Celente said that the dollar would eventually be devalued by as much as 90 per cent. Celente’s track record is impeccable. He successfully predicted the 1997 Asian Currency Crisis and the subprime mortgage collapse. “The consequence of what we have seen unfold this year would lead to a lowering in living standards,” notes Celente’s blog, Trends & Forecasts.

None of this is a mistake. The euro is following the dollar down the tubes. The IMF and the United Nations suggest replacing these currencies with special drawing rights (SDRs), an international reserve asset that is used as a unit of payment on IMF loans and is made up of a basket of currencies. “A new global reserve system could be created, one that no longer relies on the United States dollar as the single major reserve currency,” a United Nations report states.

During the G20 confab in 2009 plans were announced for implementing the creation of a new global currency. “There is now a world currency in waiting,” a communiqué released by the G20 stated. “The creation of a Financial Stability Board looks like the first step towards a global financial regulator” and thus a world bank as a component of one-world government.

In 2008 Obama’s Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said after attending a Bilderberg meeting that the Federal Reserve should play a “central role” in a new global banking regulatory framework. The banksters are diligently putting all their pieces into place.

“Ultimately, what this implies is that the future of the global political economy is one of increasing moves toward a global system of governance, or a world government, with a world central bank and global currency,” writes Andrew Gavin Marshall, “and that, concurrently, these developments are likely to materialize in the face of and as a result of a decline in democracy around the world, and thus, a rise in authoritarianism. What we are witnessing is the creation of a New World Order, composed of a totalitarian global government structure.”

Marshall notes that the very concept of a global currency and global central bank is authoritarian and removes any vestiges of oversight and accountability away from the people toward a small, increasingly interconnected group of international elites.

Marshall cites Carroll Quigley: “[T]he powers of financial capitalism had another far-reaching aim, nothing less than to create a world system of financial control in private hands able to dominate the political system of each country and the economy of the world as a whole. This system was to be controlled in a feudalist fashion by the central banks of the world acting in concert, by secret agreements arrived at in frequent private meetings and conferences. The apex of the system was to be the Bank for International Settlements in Basle, Switzerland, a private bank owned and controlled by the world’s central banks which were themselves private corporations.”

In order for this long sought after agenda to be successful America and its currency must be destroyed. As noted by Fortune, central banks around the world are now picking up the pace in the abandonment of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency. It is part of the plan and so is the destruction of America’s middle class now underway.



Kurt Nimmo
Infowars.com
July 11, 2010 

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Sears and Kmart to offer cash-for-gold service - Did You Miss This?

Yesterday I sent out an article to the PZ Insiders and I am not sure that people understood the gravity of what that article was proposing.
What was the article?
Sears and Kmart to offer cash-for-gold service.
Folks, when I saw this my heart skipped a beat. I had to ask myself "are we further along than what I first thought?"
By this, I mean, are we further down the road to a major economic catastrophe than where I believed us to be.
I hate to say this, but I believe we are.
In studying other countries that went belly up, the "gold buyers" started to pop up.
They clearly read the writing on the wall and they were working hard to grab up as many gold assets as possible with the knowledge that both gold and silver were going to go through the roof.
Well fast forward to today and we see Kmart and Sears stepping up to the plate. Both of these companies are not doing well, but they know that if they are able to secure gold and silver assets, that these assets will help them dig their way out of where they are right now.
We are currently in the beginnings of the economic catastrophe, the masses just don't realize it yet. But I was surprised to see how far down the road we already are.
If I were you, I would take from Kmart and Sears lead and start acquiring gold and silver assets.
In Fact here is a great tip, start saving your nickles. Here is an excellent article by James Rawles as to why.

Mass Inflation Ahead

Save Your Nickels!

.In His Service,
Ray
Survival4Christians
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sears and Kmart to offer cash-for-gold service

CHICAGO (Reuters) – Sears Holdings Corp (SHLD.O), which expanded its layaway program to help cash-strapped consumers pay for purchases during the recession, is now helping its customers exchange their jewelry for cash as gold prices soar.
The new service, available at the jewelry departments of Sears and Kmart stores, allows customers to send their gold and silver items to Pro Gold Network, a company that buys precious metals from consumers.
Pro Gold makes an offer on the gold or silver and the consumer can choose to accept the offer or have the items returned, free of charge, Sears said.
Sears provides the shipping envelop and also helps consumers track the items via websites or a toll-free customer service number.
Sears has seen sales pressured over the past two years by the weak economy and has also lost sales to discounters like Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT.N) and electronics retailers like Best Buy Co Inc (BBY.N). The company did say, however, that sales improved in the first quarter.
In 2008, it expanded its layaway program as a way to help cash-strapped consumers pay for goods.
Advertising from companies offering gold recycling services had reached a fever pitch in late 2008 due to a global economic crisis, as the price of gold climbed above $1,000 an ounce in a flight to safety.
Last week, gold has soared to record highs at just below $1,250 an ounce as jittery investors fretted over sovereign risks and inflation.
Bullion is still far away from its inflation-adjusted record at over $2,200, analysts said. In 2001, gold was trading at just $250 an ounce.